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3

Bailey Sioux

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 67

Remington Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength70%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Remington Park 14/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS14/12C6C6 @ Will Rogers Downs 12/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 74 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/01/2026 · OR 74 parC6 @ Will Rogers Downs 09/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 67 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/02/2026 · OR 67 par9/02C6OR 67C6 @ Will Rogers Downs 23/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 68 · 5f110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/02/2026 · OR 68 parC5 @ Will Rogers Downs 09/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 66 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/03/2026 · OR 66 par9/03C5OR 66C5 @ Will Rogers Downs 06/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 62 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 62 parC5 @ Will Rogers Downs 27/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 62 · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 62 par27/04C5OR 62C8 @ Remington Park 23/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 62 · 5f110y 120 · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 62 par23/08C8OR 62projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Remington Park?5th5th0
2026-04-27Will Rogers Downs?6th3rd+3
2026-04-06Will Rogers Downs?2nd-1th+3
2026-03-09Will Rogers Downs?7th3rd+3
2026-02-23Will Rogers Downs?1st-1th+2
2026-02-09Will Rogers Downs?2nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1223/0227/0423/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/12/20252nd12/137%86%+0.49
12/01/20263rd4/696%82%-0.15
09/02/20262nd15/890%90%-0.00
23/02/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03
09/03/20267th10/147%0%-0.47
06/04/20262nd10/147%83%+0.36
27/04/20266th4/179%38%-0.41
23/08/20265th7/163%43%-0.20