5

Saintslute

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 57

Remington Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength48%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Remington Park 31/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 11831/10C9C9 @ Will Rogers Downs 02/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 37 · 5f110y Fas 118 · beat its mark02/03/2026 · OR 37 par2/03C9OR 37C6 @ Will Rogers Downs 16/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 37 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/03/2026 · OR 37 par16/03C6OR 37C6 @ Will Rogers Downs 13/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 48 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/04/2026 · OR 48 par13/04C6OR 48projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-13Will Rogers Downs?1st-1th+2
2026-03-16Will Rogers Downs?4th2nd+2
2026-03-02Will Rogers Downs?4th5th−1
2025-10-31Remington Park?5th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/102/0316/0313/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength51%

Delivery trend -6.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/10/20255th20/10%50%+0.50
02/03/20264th10/147%63%+0.15
16/03/20264th14/126%57%+0.31
13/04/20261st9/276%100%+0.24