Ship Her West

5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 88

Remington Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

68%

Place Prob

47%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼2

Strength66%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C5.3

Today:

Class gap: +2.2

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2024-12-12	Remington Park	?	5th	2nd	+3	8.0
2024-10-24	Remington Park	?	2nd	-1th	+3	5.0
2024-09-29	Remington Park	?	1st	-1th	+2	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -34.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
29/09/2024	1st	7/2	82%	100%	+0.18
24/10/2024	2nd	7/4	91%	75%	-0.16
12/12/2024	5th	11/8	93%	43%	-0.50