8
Somerton
2yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 82
Salisbury · Salisbury Annual Badgeholders 'Bluestocking' British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
91%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Goodwood | 2 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Sandown | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength81%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |