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Astralite

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Salisbury · 'Pyledriver' British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 6f 213y

#9

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Looked in need of the experience when a debut fifth in valuable Ascot maiden (6f) in July and given a patient ride when a never-nearer fifth of 11 in maiden at Windsor (6f, good to firm) following month. Capable of better, especially once qualified for nurseries.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Ascot 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS25/0724 @ Windsor 17/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f12y GF 13317/084projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-17Windsor45th6th−1
2026-07-25Ascot25th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0717/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength7%

Delivery trend -53.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/07/20265th33/10%50%+0.50
17/08/20265th7/163%60%-0.03