3
Does Mary Know
2yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 77
Salisbury · 'Pyledriver' British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 6f 213y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
75%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength61%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Ascot | 2 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 2 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Goodwood | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -61.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |