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4

Gold Army

2yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 79

Salisbury · 'Pyledriver' British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 6f 213y

#2

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Intello colt who has shaped with promise when twice placed over 7f in novice company at Kempton this summer, collared only late on when second of 10 on latter occasion. Holds solid form claims.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Kempton 05/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f Sta 1335/0833 @ Kempton 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f Sta 1332/093projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Kempton32nd2nd0
2026-08-05Kempton33rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength46%

Delivery trend -44.4% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/08/20263rd14/126%71%+0.45
02/09/20262nd9/488%89%+0.01