11

Yabreen

2yo Colt · 9-7

Salisbury · 'Pyledriver' British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 6f 213y

#12

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Mohaather colt hinted at promise when a debut seventh in maiden at Newbury in August but failed to build on it when eighth of 12 in similar company at Bath (1m, good to firm) 19 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 26/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f110y GF 13326/0844 @ Bath 12/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m Goo 13312/094projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Bath48th9th−1
2026-08-26Newbury47th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength0%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20267th6/168%33%-0.35
12/09/20268th6/168%36%-0.32