5

Moon Rock

2yo Colt · 9-7

Salisbury · 'Pyledriver' British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) · 6f 213y

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sent off 28/1 but made a promising start amidst greenness when sixth of 11 in valuable maiden at Ascot (7f, good) 27 days ago. This Sea The Moon colt cost €280,000 at the breeze-ups and seems sure to improve. Big shout.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Ascot 04/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 7f Goo 1334/093
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Ascot36th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength99%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20266th28/10%50%+0.50