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6

Mr Badger

2yo Colt · 9-7

Salisbury · 'Pyledriver' British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) · 6f 213y

#4

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showcasing colt shaped with promise when an initial fifth in maiden at Lingfield (7f, all-weather) in August but failed to go on when sixth of 9 in novice there (1m, good to soft) 4 weeks ago. Worth another chance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 13/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 7f1y Std 13313/0843 @ Salisbury 03/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m Goo 1253/093projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Salisbury36th6th0
2026-08-13Lingfield45th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -12.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/08/20265th12/137%60%+0.23
03/09/20266th14/126%38%+0.11