Dance A Jig
2yo Colt · 9-8 · OR 96
Salisbury · British EBF Joan Snow Memorial Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Ayr | 1 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-22 | York | 1 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Haydock | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 23th | 22th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Ascot | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Doncaster | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 17/06/2026 | 23rd | 12/1 | 37% | 8% | -0.29 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 22/08/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 20% | -0.35 |
| 18/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |