5

Through The Gate

2yo Colt · 9-8

Salisbury · British EBF Joan Snow Memorial Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Belied market weakness to make a winning start in 7-runner novice at Redcar (6f, good) 22 days ago. This demands a lot more but this Invincible Spirit colt has more to offer and shouldn't be underestimated.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Redcar 09/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f217y Goo 1339/094
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Redcar41st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength74%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20261st6/168%100%+0.32