9

George Wickham

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 80

Salisbury · Sandown Kia Salisbury Handicap · 6f

#11

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Progressive 3-y-o. Encouraging return when second (no match for useful one) in soft-ground Yarmouth novice (non runner on good to firm last week). Quickened clear to go one better at Wolverhampton maiden on qualifying run in July. Open to improvement on handicap bow, though stall 14 isn't ideal.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Bath 16/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f160y Fm 13316/0854 @ Yarmouth 11/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f3y Sft 13311/0645 @ Wolverhampton 14/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f20y Std 13114/075projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Wolverhampton51st2nd−1
2026-06-11Yarmouth42nd2nd0
2025-08-16Bath57th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0811/0614/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +23.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20257th12/137%0%-0.37
11/06/20262nd66/10%86%+0.86
14/07/20261st15/890%100%+0.10