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14

Mythical Composer

4yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 75

Salisbury · Sandown Kia Salisbury Handicap · 6f

#13

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Arrives 2 lb lower than when successful in first-time cheekpieces at Kempton (7f) last December. Uncharacteristically blew that start on return to that course latest. Returns to sprinting/turf and capable of making an impact if putting it all together for in-form yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 15/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 80 · 7f Goo 135 · beat its mark15/08/2025 · OR 80 par15/084OR 804 @ Newbury 28/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 80 · 7f Goo 135 · beat its mark28/08/2025 · OR 80 par4 @ Newmarket 20/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 80 · 6f Gd 132 · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 80 par20/094OR 804 @ Wolverhampton 03/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 79 · 6f20y Std 129 · beat its mark03/11/2025 · OR 79 par4 @ Kempton 01/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 78 · 7f Sta 133 · beat its mark01/12/2025 · OR 78 par1/124OR 784 @ Kempton 04/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 81 · 7f Sta 132 · beat its mark04/02/2026 · OR 81 par4 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 23rd of 26 · OR 80 · 6f Goo 138 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 80 par29/074OR 804 @ Ripon 15/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 20 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 136 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Kempton 04/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 77 · 7f Sta 127 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 77 par4/094OR 77projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Kempton410th10th0
2026-08-15Ripon411th11th0
2026-07-29Goodwood423th23th0
2026-02-04Kempton44th4th0
2025-12-01Kempton41st1st0
2025-11-03Wolverhampton44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/083/1129/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength34%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20252nd10/382%88%+0.05
28/08/20254th3/184%67%-0.18
20/09/20254th9/276%67%-0.10
03/11/20254th4/179%73%-0.06
01/12/20251st17/255%100%+0.45
04/02/20264th9/488%67%-0.21
29/07/202623rd25/10%12%+0.12
15/08/202611th28/10%47%+0.47
04/09/202610th20/10%25%+0.25