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7

Supreme King

6yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 80

Salisbury · Sandown Kia Salisbury Handicap · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

62%

Place Prob

36%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Versatile sprinter who beat a couple of today's rivals when winning at Salisbury in early-August. Still in top form when bidding to make it 3-3 here earlier this month. Emerged with credit when 4½ lengths third at Chester last time, too, and merits respect with Colin Keane taking over.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Windsor 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 77 · 6f12y GF 133 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 77 par27/064OR 774 @ Chepstow 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 77 · 7f16y Goo 130 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Chester 10/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 78 · 5f110y Goo 128 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 78 par10/074OR 784 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 26 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 136 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 78 par3 @ Salisbury 12/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 78 par12/083OR 783 @ Chester 22/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 82 · 6f17y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ Windsor 29/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 82 · 6f12y Sft 140 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 82 par29/084OR 824 @ Salisbury 11/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 81 · 6f Sft 135 · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 81 par4 @ Chester 19/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 81 · 6f17y Hvy 135 · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 81 par19/094OR 81projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Chester43rd3rd0
2026-09-11Salisbury43rd3rd0
2026-08-29Windsor46th6th0
2026-08-22Chester35th4th+1
2026-08-12Salisbury31st0th+1
2026-07-29Goodwood47th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0629/0729/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength57%

Delivery trend +0.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/06/20262nd6/168%89%+0.20
03/07/20262nd6/492%80%-0.12
10/07/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06
29/07/20267th11/271%76%+0.05
12/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
22/08/20265th14/126%60%+0.34
29/08/20266th11/486%38%-0.48
11/09/20263rd5/174%71%-0.02
19/09/20263rd12/137%78%+0.41