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2

Under The Twilight

8yo Mare · 9-9 · OR 82

Salisbury · Sandown Kia Salisbury Handicap · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner who landed a pair of sprint handicaps at Windsor (6f) this summer. Form of the latter success hasn't worked out, though, and she arrives on the back of a lesser effort at the same track.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 20/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 80 · 6f16y Std 130 · beat its mark20/11/2025 · OR 80 par20/114OR 804 @ Doncaster 29/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 78 · 7f6y GS 133 · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Leicester 25/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 77 · 6f Goo 132 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 77 par25/044OR 773 @ Windsor 11/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 77 · 6f12y Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 77 par5 @ Leicester 13/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 75 · 6f Goo 142 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 75 par13/065OR 754 @ Windsor 13/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 73 · 6f12y Goo 133 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 73 par4 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 26 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 136 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 78 par29/074OR 784 @ Windsor 17/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 80 · 6f12y GF 133 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Windsor 29/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 82 · 6f12y Sft 140 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 82 par29/084OR 82projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Windsor48th8th0
2026-08-17Windsor41st1st0
2026-07-29Goodwood42nd2nd0
2026-07-13Windsor41st1st0
2026-06-13Leicester54th5th−1
2026-05-11Windsor34th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1111/0529/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength21%

Delivery trend -6.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/11/20258th28/10%46%+0.46
29/03/20266th11/142%67%+0.25
25/04/20262nd10/382%83%+0.01
11/05/20264th4/179%63%-0.16
13/06/20264th3/184%63%-0.22
13/07/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
29/07/20262nd13/266%96%+0.30
17/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
29/08/20268th7/282%13%-0.69