13

Albus Anne
7yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 62
Salisbury · Barbara Snow 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 1f 201y
#13
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Bath | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Windsor | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Salisbury | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Kempton | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-11-19 | Kempton | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-10-30 | Bath | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength28%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 29/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 14/09/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 30/10/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 19/11/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 03/12/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 09/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 13/09/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |