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Dancing Tiger

4yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 79

Salisbury · Barbara Snow 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 1f 201y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Quirky sort. Presumably benefited from the freshener of a headgear change (still went in snatches) when doubling his tally for the year in this grade at Sandown (1¼m) last time. Remains one to treat with caution off 4 lb higher here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Sandown 17/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 70 · 1m1f209y Sft 125 · beat its mark17/09/2025 · OR 70 par17/094OR 705 @ Bath 30/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 70 · 1m2f37y Hvy 136 · beat its mark30/10/2025 · OR 70 par5 @ Doncaster 28/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 69 · 1m2f43y Goo 139 · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 69 par28/035OR 695 @ Kempton 04/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 73 · 1m2f219y Sta 133 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Lingfield 18/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 72 · 1m2f Goo 132 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 72 par18/055OR 724 @ Goodwood 05/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 73 · 1m3f218y GS 130 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Newbury 23/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 75 · 1m4f GF 135 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 75 par23/075OR 754 @ Epsom Downs 31/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 75 · 1m4f6y GS 153 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Sandown 11/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 75 · 1m1f209y Goo 137 · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 75 par11/094OR 75projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Sandown41st1st0
2026-08-31Epsom Downs412th12th0
2026-07-23Newbury54th5th−1
2026-06-05Goodwood42nd2nd0
2026-05-18Lingfield52nd3rd−1
2026-05-04Kempton56th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/094/0523/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength91%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/09/20253rd10/382%75%-0.07
30/10/20254th6/492%40%-0.52
28/03/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
04/05/20266th10/147%44%-0.03
18/05/20262nd3/184%86%+0.02
05/06/20262nd13/266%88%+0.22
23/07/20264th7/163%0%-0.63
31/08/202612th14/126%15%-0.11
11/09/20261st12/137%100%+0.63