8
Felix Gem
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 77
Salisbury · Barbara Snow 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 1f 201y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Lingfield | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-16 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-12-22 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 10-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -19.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 64% | +0.22 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 26/02/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |