Mr Seagull
3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 71
Salisbury · Barbara Snow 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 1f 201y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Sandown | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Pontefract | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Goodwood | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Ascot | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Chester | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | York | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 17th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 27/09/2025 | 13th | 150/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 30/07/2026 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 28% | +0.28 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |