Exactly Right
4yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 77
Salisbury · Barbara Snow 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 1f 201y
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | Taunton | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-16 | Fontwell | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Fontwell | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-29 | Fontwell | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-25 | Kempton | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-04-04 | Leicester | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +10.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2024 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |
| 15/03/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 04/04/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 57% | -0.32 |
| 25/06/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/08/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 26/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 16/11/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 11/12/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |