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3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 75

Salisbury · Barbara Snow 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 1f 201y

#8

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Progressive Study Of Man colt who resumed from 6 months off with a very good second of 12 in maiden at Lingfield (1m, all-weather) in April. Off again since but not out of things on his handicap debut with yard going well.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Sandown 30/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f Goo 13330/0745 @ Kempton 22/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f Sta 13322/1054 @ Lingfield 28/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m1y Std 12828/044projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-28Lingfield42nd2nd0
2025-10-22Kempton56th7th−1
2025-07-30Sandown43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0722/1028/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength21%

Delivery trend -31.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20253rd28/10%71%+0.71
22/10/20256th9/276%44%-0.32
28/04/20262nd10/382%91%+0.08