7
Royale Goodnight
4yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 73
Salisbury · Barbara Snow 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 1f 201y
#11
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Kempton | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Newbury | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-04-02 | Southwell | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Newmarket | 1 | 8th | 4th | +3 |
| 2024-09-16 | Kempton | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -11.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2024 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 02/11/2024 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 02/04/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 18/04/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 09/09/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |