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2

Sintra

3yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 82

Salisbury · Barbara Snow 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 1f 201y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

76%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Kingman colt gained a first win at Ascot (1¼m) in May. Off 4 months (gelded) before posting a very good fourth of 11 in handicap at Doncaster (1¼m, good) 3 weeks ago. Can go well again off the same mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength68%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newcastle 04/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m5y Std 1234/0244 @ Wolverhampton 17/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m142y Std 12617/0343 @ Yarmouth 11/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 1m2f23y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS11/0433 @ Ascot 09/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 75 · 1m1f212y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 75 par9/053OR 752 @ Newbury 16/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 80 · 1m2f Goo 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 80 par16/052OR 802 @ Doncaster 10/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 82 · 1m2f43y Goo 116 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 82 par10/092OR 82projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Doncaster24th2nd+2
2026-05-16Newbury27th5th+2
2026-05-09Ascot31st0th+1
2026-04-11Yarmouth33rd2nd+1
2026-03-17Wolverhampton42nd2nd0
2026-02-04Newcastle43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0217/0311/049/0516/0510/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +11.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/02/20263rd6/492%78%-0.14
17/03/20262nd11/1094%83%-0.11
11/04/20263rd8/158%50%-0.08
09/05/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
16/05/20267th17/255%33%-0.22
10/09/20264th22/10%70%+0.70