Wreck It Ronnie
3yo Colt · 9-10 · OR 80
Salisbury · Barbara Snow 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 1f 201y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Goodwood | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-19 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Kempton | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 19/08/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 45% | -0.20 |
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |