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2

Dialstone

3yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 84

Salisbury · Madar Corporation 'Season Finale' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f 44y

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Good-looking sort from useful family. Finished one place ahead of Treble Bass at Kempton before improving to open his account at Bath (1¼m) latest, looking better the further he went. Opening mark a potentially lenient one and more to come over this significantly longer trip. Very interesting.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength49%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ffos Las 30/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 13030/0643 @ Kempton 05/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f219y Sta 130 · HIGHER CLASS5/0833 @ Bath 12/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 1m2f37y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS12/093projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Bath31st0th+1
2026-08-05Kempton32nd1st+1
2026-06-30Ffos Las42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/065/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength62%

Delivery trend -18.0% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/06/20262nd11/142%83%+0.41
05/08/20262nd5/696%91%-0.05
12/09/20261st1/195%100%+0.05