3

Macari
6yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 76
Salisbury · Madar Corporation 'Season Finale' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f 44y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Windsor | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Sandown | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sandown | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Lingfield | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Nottingham | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Plumpton | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 10/12/2025 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 14% | -0.41 |
| 07/01/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 09/02/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 13/06/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 13% | +0.07 |
| 03/07/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 14/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |