10
Pyleates
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 68
Salisbury · Madar Corporation 'Season Finale' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f 44y
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Doncaster | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Sandown | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sandown | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-12-01 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-31 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength66%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 31/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 01/12/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 25% | -0.30 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 85/40 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |