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Son Of Man

5yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 79

Salisbury · Madar Corporation 'Season Finale' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f 44y

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sole career success came at Lingfield (1½m) in April. Sprang back to life after a trio of dull runs when 6½ lengths third of 9 at Windsor (11.5f) last time. Now only 1 lb above his last winning mark and looks worth a go over this longer trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength54%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 18/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 80 · 1m2f219y Sta 134 · beat its mark18/02/2026 · OR 80 par18/024OR 803 @ Kempton 02/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 80 · 1m3f219y Sta 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/03/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Lingfield 03/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 78 · 1m4f Std 136 · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 78 par3/044OR 784 @ Lingfield 27/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 82 · 1m4f Std 132 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ Windsor 18/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 85 · 1m3f99y Goo 135 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 85 par18/054OR 853 @ Kempton 27/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 85 · 1m3f219y Sta 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 85 par3 @ Kempton 12/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 84 · 1m3f219y Sta 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 84 par12/083OR 844 @ Epsom Downs 31/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 82 · 1m4f6y GS 160 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ Windsor 14/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 80 · 1m3f99y Goo 139 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 80 par14/094OR 80projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Windsor43rd3rd0
2026-08-31Epsom Downs413th13th0
2026-08-12Kempton39th8th+1
2026-05-27Kempton312th11th+1
2026-05-18Windsor43rd3rd0
2026-04-27Lingfield42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0227/0412/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength26%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/02/20263rd15/261%75%+0.14
02/03/20265th20/10%50%+0.50
03/04/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
27/04/20262nd2/189%86%-0.04
18/05/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10
27/05/202612th12/137%8%-0.29
12/08/20269th28/10%27%+0.27
31/08/202613th28/10%8%+0.08
14/09/20263rd25/10%75%+0.75