
Son Of Man
5yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 79
Salisbury · Madar Corporation 'Season Finale' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f 44y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Windsor | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kempton | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Kempton | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Windsor | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Lingfield | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 02/03/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 27/05/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 8% | -0.29 |
| 12/08/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 31/08/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |