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7

Treble Bass

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 79

Salisbury · Madar Corporation 'Season Finale' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f 44y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

210,000 gns son of Sea the Stars. Ran his best race when 2¼-length second to Interstate (entered at Kempton on Wednesday) on qualifying run at Newcastle (1¼m) last time. Shapes as though he'll improve for this longer trip and remains very much unexposed back on turf for handicap bow.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Windsor 20/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS20/0733 @ Kempton 05/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f219y Sta 130 · HIGHER CLASS5/0833 @ Newcastle 03/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 1m2f42y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS3/093projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Newcastle32nd1st+1
2026-08-05Kempton33rd2nd+1
2026-07-20Windsor36th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/075/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength88%

Delivery trend +14.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/07/20266th11/142%38%-0.05
05/08/20263rd6/168%82%+0.13
03/09/20262nd11/142%67%+0.25