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7

Cirrus Speed

5yo Gelding · 9-3

Sha Tin · Nanning Handicap · 6f

#15

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: BHA38
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA51 @ Sha Tin 09/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 51 · 5f Gd 126 · beat its mark09/11/2025 · OR 51 par9/1151OR 51C0 @ Happy Valley 17/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 125C0 @ Sha Tin 04/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f Std 1224/01C?BHA45 @ Sha Tin 11/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 45 · 6f GF 120 · beat its mark11/01/2026 · OR 45 parBHA43 @ Sha Tin 01/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 43 · 5f Gd 118 · beat its mark01/02/2026 · OR 43 par1/0243OR 43C0 @ Happy Valley 04/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f Goo 117BHA40 @ Sha Tin 15/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 40 · 6f GF 115 · beat its mark15/03/2026 · OR 40 par15/0340OR 40BHA40 @ Sha Tin 06/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 40 · 6f Gd 135 · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 40 parBHA38 @ Sha Tin 04/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 38 · 6f Std 133 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 38 par4/0738OR 38projClass-projected finish: 9th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Sha TinBHA387th7th0
2026-04-06Sha TinBHA4012th12th0
2026-03-15Sha TinBHA406th6th0
2026-03-04Happy Valley?8th8th0
2026-02-01Sha TinBHA435th5th0
2026-01-11Sha TinBHA455th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1111/0115/034/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength28%

Delivery trend -5.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/11/20257th40/10%54%+0.54
17/12/202512th20/10%0%0.00
04/01/20268th80/10%36%+0.36
11/01/20265th50/10%64%+0.64
01/02/20265th66/10%69%+0.69
04/03/20268th16/116%36%+0.21
15/03/20266th50/10%55%+0.55
06/04/202612th12/137%15%-0.21
04/07/20267th8/158%45%-0.12