2
Falcon Hunter
4yo Gelding · 9-7
Sha Tin · Nanning Handicap · 6f
#14
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class: BHA42
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA42 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Sha Tin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/11/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 27/12/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |
| 14/01/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 11/02/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 08/04/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 20/05/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 27/06/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |