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3

Flash Star

5yo Gelding · 9-7

Sha Tin · Nanning Handicap · 6f

#12

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class: BHA43
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA43 @ Sha Tin 23/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 43 · 7f Gd 119 · beat its mark23/11/2025 · OR 43 par23/1143OR 43C0 @ Happy Valley 17/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 117C0 @ Happy Valley 04/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 1274/02C?C0 @ Happy Valley 04/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f Goo 123C0 @ Happy Valley 11/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 12311/03C?C0 @ Happy Valley 08/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 122C0 @ Happy Valley 29/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 12029/04C?BHA43 @ Sha Tin 31/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 43 · 6f Gd 118 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 43 parC0 @ Happy Valley 09/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 1359/09C?projClass-projected finish: 16th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Happy Valley?12th12th0
2026-05-31Sha TinBHA436th6th0
2026-04-29Happy Valley?9th9th0
2026-04-08Happy Valley?9th9th0
2026-03-11Happy Valley?11th11th0
2026-03-04Happy Valley?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/114/0329/049/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 3-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength43%

Delivery trend -2.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/11/202512th66/10%15%+0.15
17/12/20251st50/10%100%+1.00
04/02/202610th25/10%18%+0.18
04/03/20265th12/137%60%+0.23
11/03/202611th18/15%9%+0.04
08/04/20269th18/15%27%+0.22
29/04/20269th33/10%27%+0.27
31/05/20266th80/10%62%+0.62
09/09/202612th20/10%0%0.00