8

Groovy Feeling
6yo Gelding · 9-2
Sha Tin · Nanning Handicap · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 8.1)
Highest class: BHA35
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA35 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA38 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Sha Tin | BHA40 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA42 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Sha Tin | BHA44 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Sha Tin | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength46%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 26/10/2025 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 23/11/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 46% | +0.41 |
| 27/12/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 11/01/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/05/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/06/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 04/07/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 06/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |