8

Groovy Feeling

6yo Gelding · 9-2

Sha Tin · Nanning Handicap · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 8.1)

Highest class: BHA35
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Sha Tin 01/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 6f GF 1251/10C?C0 @ Sha Tin 26/10/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 7f GF 124BHA48 @ Sha Tin 23/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 48 · 6f Gd 123 · beat its mark23/11/2025 · OR 48 par23/1148OR 48C0 @ Sha Tin 27/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 6f Gd 121BHA44 @ Sha Tin 11/01/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 44 · 6f GF 119 · beat its mark11/01/2026 · OR 44 par11/0144OR 44BHA42 @ Sha Tin 24/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 42 · 6f Gd 119 · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 42 parBHA40 @ Sha Tin 21/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 40 · 6f Gd 115 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 40 par21/0640OR 40BHA38 @ Sha Tin 04/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 38 · 6f Gd 133 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 38 parBHA35 @ Sha Tin 06/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 35 · 6f Gd 129 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 35 par6/0935OR 35projClass-projected finish: 12th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Sha TinBHA358th8th0
2026-07-04Sha TinBHA3810th10th0
2026-06-21Sha TinBHA406th6th0
2026-05-24Sha TinBHA4214th14th0
2026-01-11Sha TinBHA4412th12th0
2025-12-27Sha Tin?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1027/1221/066/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength46%

Delivery trend +5.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/10/20259th9/153%33%-0.19
26/10/202513th40/10%8%+0.08
23/11/20258th18/15%46%+0.41
27/12/202512th33/10%15%+0.15
11/01/202612th33/10%0%0.00
24/05/202614th40/10%0%0.00
21/06/20266th50/10%62%+0.62
04/07/202610th22/10%18%+0.18
06/09/20268th25/10%46%+0.46