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6

Noble Fans

5yo Gelding · 9-4

Sha Tin · Nanning Handicap · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

93%

Place Prob

68%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class: BHA30
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA44 @ Sha Tin 14/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 44 · 6f GF 120 · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 44 par14/0244OR 44C0 @ Sha Tin 22/02/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 6f Gd 119C0 @ Happy Valley 11/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 11611/03C?BHA38 @ Sha Tin 06/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 38 · 6f Gd 133 · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 38 parC0 @ Happy Valley 22/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m Gd 13222/04C?C0 @ Happy Valley 13/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 131BHA32 @ Sha Tin 07/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 32 · 7f Gd 126 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 32 par7/0632OR 32BHA30 @ Sha Tin 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 30 · 6f Gd 125 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 30 parC0 @ Happy Valley 09/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 1309/09C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Happy Valley?7th7th0
2026-07-04Sha TinBHA301st1st0
2026-06-07Sha TinBHA328th8th0
2026-05-13Happy Valley?11th11th0
2026-04-22Happy Valley?5th5th0
2026-04-06Sha TinBHA3811th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/026/047/069/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/02/202611th10/147%9%-0.38
22/02/202614th66/10%0%0.00
11/03/20269th50/10%27%+0.27
06/04/202611th10/147%23%-0.24
22/04/20265th20/10%60%+0.60
13/05/202611th33/10%9%+0.09
07/06/20268th33/10%46%+0.46
04/07/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
09/09/20267th7/163%45%-0.18