4
Power Patch
4yo Gelding · 9-7
Sha Tin · Nanning Handicap · 6f
#13
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 9.6)
Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA40 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA46 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA48 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Sha Tin | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength91%
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 18/01/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/02/2026 | 13th | 125/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 03/05/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 06/09/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |