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11

Quick Money

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Sha Tin · Nanning Handicap · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 7.9)

Highest class: BHA34
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Sha Tin 21/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 6f 12921/01C?C0 @ Sha Tin 19/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 6f Gd 128C0 @ Sha Tin 08/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 6f Std 1258/03C?BHA48 @ Sha Tin 29/03/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 48 · 5f Gd 123 · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 48 parBHA46 @ Sha Tin 06/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 46 · 7f Gd 121 · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 46 par6/0446OR 46C0 @ Happy Valley 29/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 119BHA40 @ Sha Tin 31/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 40 · 5f Gd 115 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 40 par31/0540OR 40BHA37 @ Sha Tin 21/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 37 · 7f Gd 132 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 37 parBHA34 @ Sha Tin 04/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 34 · 6f Std 129 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 34 par4/0734OR 34projClass-projected finish: 13th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Sha TinBHA346th6th0
2026-06-21Sha TinBHA3714th14th0
2026-05-31Sha TinBHA409th9th0
2026-04-29Happy Valley?11th11th0
2026-04-06Sha TinBHA4613th13th0
2026-03-29Sha TinBHA4813th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0129/0331/054/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength21%

Delivery trend -1.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/01/20267th33/10%45%+0.45
19/02/202610th66/10%31%+0.31
08/03/20266th50/10%50%+0.50
29/03/202613th25/10%8%+0.08
06/04/202613th66/10%8%+0.08
29/04/202611th40/10%9%+0.09
31/05/20269th33/10%38%+0.38
21/06/202614th50/10%0%0.00
04/07/20266th25/10%55%+0.55