1
Sunny Q
6yo Gelding · 9-9
Sha Tin · Nanning Handicap · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA40 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA40 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA42 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA43 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Sha Tin | BHA45 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 6th | 6/4 | 92% | 55% | -0.38 |
| 25/01/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 69% | +0.01 |
| 19/02/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.33 |
| 25/03/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 36% | -0.29 |
| 06/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 85% | +0.19 |
| 24/05/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 54% | +0.01 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 06/09/2026 | 6th | 11/10 | 94% | 62% | -0.33 |