13
Winning Diamond
5yo Gelding · 8-9
Sha Tin · Nanning Handicap · 6f
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.6)
Highest class: BHA32
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA32 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA36 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA38 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sha Tin | BHA40 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 14-16 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 18/01/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 25/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 22/03/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 12/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 77% | +0.61 |
| 03/05/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 27/06/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.14 |
| 09/09/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 9% | -0.44 |