1
Chill Buddy
5yo Gelding · 9-9
Sha Tin · Tianjin Handicap · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sha Tin | BHA78 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA72 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA72 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA72 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Sha Tin | BHA66 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Sha Tin | BHA66 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |
| 27/12/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 85% | +0.16 |
| 11/01/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 91% | +0.65 |
| 08/02/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 55% | -0.19 |
| 14/02/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 12/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 70% | -0.01 |
| 09/05/2026 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 27% | -0.55 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 13/09/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.27 |