4
Flying Fortress
6yo Gelding · 9-0
Sha Tin · Tianjin Handicap · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: BHA63
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA67 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA71 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Sha Tin | BHA71 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA72 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 18/01/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 31% | +0.04 |
| 11/02/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 45% | -0.20 |
| 25/03/2026 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 18% | -0.37 |
| 22/04/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 69% | +0.64 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 62% | +0.46 |
| 06/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |