IvyArcIvyArc
6

Fortune Boy

5yo Gelding · 8-12

Sha Tin · Tianjin Handicap · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: BHA49
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA69 @ Sha Tin 11/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 69 · 1m1f GF 120 · below its mark11/01/2026 · OR 69 par11/0169OR 69BHA69 @ Sha Tin 18/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 69 · 1m Gd 127 · below its mark18/01/2026 · OR 69 parBHA69 @ Sha Tin 08/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 69 · 1m1f Gd 120 · below its mark08/02/2026 · OR 69 par8/0269OR 69C0 @ Sha Tin 19/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f Gd 125BHA69 @ Sha Tin 01/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 69 · 1m2f Gd 120 · beat its mark01/03/2026 · OR 69 par1/0369OR 69C0 @ Sha Tin 08/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f Gd 115BHA73 @ Sha Tin 06/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 73 · 1m2f Gd 128 · below its mark06/04/2026 · OR 73 par6/0473OR 73BHA76 @ Sha Tin 03/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 76 · 1m4f Yie 115 · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 76 parBHA70 @ Sha Tin 12/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 70 · 1m GF 122 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 70 par12/0770OR 70projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Sha TinBHA7013th13th0
2026-05-03Sha TinBHA766th6th0
2026-04-06Sha TinBHA737th7th0
2026-03-08Sha Tin?4th4th0
2026-03-01Sha TinBHA692nd2nd0
2026-02-19Sha Tin?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0119/026/0412/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 11-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/01/20266th13/891%62%-0.30
18/01/20267th11/271%54%-0.17
08/02/202610th12/137%31%-0.06
19/02/20264th20/10%77%+0.77
01/03/20262nd9/153%92%+0.40
08/03/20264th5/174%67%-0.07
06/04/20267th9/276%40%-0.36
03/05/20266th9/153%17%-0.36
12/07/202613th11/142%8%-0.34