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14

Master Lucky

5yo Gelding · 8-6

Sha Tin · Tianjin Handicap · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

91%

Place Prob

65%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Sha Tin 22/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 5f Gd 13422/02C?C0 @ Sha Tin 08/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 135BHA58 @ Sha Tin 22/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 58 · 6f GF 133 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 58 par22/0358OR 58C0 @ Happy Valley 15/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 133BHA57 @ Sha Tin 03/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 57 · 6f Gd 135 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 57 par3/0557OR 57BHA55 @ Sha Tin 17/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 55 · 7f Goo 130 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 55 parBHA54 @ Sha Tin 07/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 54 · 7f Gd 131 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 54 par7/0654OR 54BHA54 @ Sha Tin 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 54 · 7f Gd 129 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 54 parBHA60 @ Sha Tin 06/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 60 · 7f GF 135 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 60 par6/0960OR 60projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Sha TinBHA602nd2nd0
2026-06-27Sha TinBHA541st1st0
2026-06-07Sha TinBHA542nd2nd0
2026-05-17Sha TinBHA553rd3rd0
2026-05-03Sha TinBHA575th5th0
2026-04-15Happy Valley?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0215/047/066/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/02/20264th7/163%77%+0.14
08/03/20262nd10/147%91%+0.44
22/03/20267th6/168%54%-0.15
15/04/20267th9/276%45%-0.31
03/05/20265th12/137%69%+0.32
17/05/20263rd9/153%85%+0.32
07/06/20262nd10/382%92%+0.10
27/06/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
06/09/20262nd10/147%92%+0.45