6
Absolute Heart
4yo Gelding · 8-10
Sha Tin · Shanghai Handicap · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Sha Tin | BHA59 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Sha Tin | BHA59 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -44.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 26/04/2026 | 8th | 6/4 | 92% | 46% | -0.46 |
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |