3
Effortless Win
4yo Gelding · 9-1
Sha Tin · Shanghai Handicap · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA71 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA64 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -24.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 91% | +0.00 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 82% | -0.04 |