11
Majestic Valour
5yo Gelding · 8-8
Sha Tin · Shanghai Handicap · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA67 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Sha Tin | BHA68 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Sha Tin | BHA68 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA68 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Sha Tin | BHA60 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Sha Tin | BHA60 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength70%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/12/2025 | 8th | 1/1 | 95% | 46% | -0.49 |
| 11/01/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 69% | +0.17 |
| 21/06/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 46% | -0.14 |
| 12/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 46% | +0.20 |