15
Megastar Heart
5yo Gelding · 8-10
Sha Tin · Shanghai Handicap · 6f
#15
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: BHA69
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA69 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA71 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA71 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +41.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 36% | -0.40 |
| 13/06/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |