14
Mount Everest
5yo Gelding · 8-3
Sha Tin · Shanghai Handicap · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA63 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA64 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Sha Tin | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Sha Tin | BHA64 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Sha Tin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 5-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength16%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 06/04/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 85% | +0.00 |
| 10/05/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |
| 09/11/2025 | 12th | 9/1 | 53% | 15% | -0.37 |
| 27/12/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 25/01/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 69% | +0.22 |
| 19/02/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 07/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 04/07/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |