12
Mr Desira
5yo Gelding · 8-5
Sha Tin · Shanghai Handicap · 6f
#12
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: BHA51
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Sha Tin | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 12-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 15/10/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 02/11/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 82% | -0.02 |
| 19/11/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 10/12/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 73% | -0.09 |
| 27/12/2025 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 15% | -0.32 |
| 25/03/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 10% | -0.43 |
| 27/05/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 45% | -0.39 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |