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8

Spicy Standard

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Sha Tin · Shanghai Handicap · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA52 @ Sha Tin 09/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 52 · 6f Gd 127 · beat its mark09/03/2025 · OR 52 par9/0352OR 52BHA50 @ Sha Tin 07/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 50 · 6f Gd 127 · beat its mark07/09/2025 · OR 50 parBHA58 @ Sha Tin 28/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 58 · 6f Slo 134 · beat its mark28/09/2025 · OR 58 par28/0958OR 58BHA60 @ Sha Tin 22/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 60 · 6f Gd 135 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 60 parBHA60 @ Sha Tin 12/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 60 · 6f Gd 135 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 60 par12/0460OR 60BHA62 @ Sha Tin 09/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 62 · 6f Goo 117 · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 62 parBHA62 @ Sha Tin 07/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 62 · 6f Gd 117 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 62 par7/0662OR 62BHA61 @ Sha Tin 04/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 61 · 6f Gd 120 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 61 parBHA60 @ Sha Tin 06/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 60 · 6f GF 135 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 60 par6/0960OR 60projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Sha TinBHA601st1st0
2026-07-04Sha TinBHA613rd3rd0
2026-06-07Sha TinBHA625th5th0
2026-05-09Sha TinBHA627th7th0
2026-04-12Sha TinBHA602nd2nd0
2026-03-22Sha TinBHA607th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0322/037/066/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength56%

Delivery trend -7.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/03/20254th66/10%73%+0.73
07/09/20251st40/10%100%+1.00
28/09/20252nd4/179%91%+0.12
22/03/20267th5/174%50%-0.24
12/04/20262nd7/282%91%+0.09
09/05/20267th5/174%45%-0.28
07/06/20265th10/147%64%+0.16
04/07/20263rd4/179%82%+0.03
06/09/20261st15/261%100%+0.39